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"We believe that markets will remain in a tight trading range until the end of the year, especially whilst there is no obvious catalyst driving forward Europe. Investors are effectively waiting on the German election next year, unless there is serious event risk, in which case we might see some support for the implementation of quantitative easing. Meanwhile, the potential for the US to fall off the fiscal cliff and a further slowdown in China will undoubtedly hamper investors’ confidence. We remain constructive on equity markets in the long term, however. The US will most likely avoid the political brinkmanship that hampered proceedings last year, and the deficit increase should be approved. Clearly, any action after that will depend on who wins the Presidential Election. Finally, the transition continues in China, from an export-led economy to one that is driven by the domestic consumer. Whilst growth might slow, it will remain significant."

David Coombs, Head of Multi-Manager Investments, Rathbones

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