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Weekly Update - 18 June 2010 |
Corporate and Political Hypocracy
What started as a corporate mess has quickly become
a political quagmire for BP. The result has been not just a
financial disaster but a reputational one as well. It is too early
to be able to write the history of this disaster with the suitable
amount of perspective, after all there is still going to be much to
unfold over the coming months.
However, what we can see have been actions and
reactions of a major corporate struggling to manage such a series of
events in the glare of twenty four hour global media all hungry for
comments, errors and slip ups. Mr Hayward has been criticised for
some ill advised comments but frankly anything can be taken out of
context and twisted to imply whatever the media outlet wants it to
be. This I know from my own experience.
The problem for BP has not necessarily been the
amount of their action or inaction, but their inability to finally
‘cap’ the problem in every sense. Thus as the tragedy continues the
issue metamorphoses from a corporate and environmental issue into a
political one. BP has clearly stated and repeated its determination
to stand by its promises of repair and rectification and that there
will be no going back on this. The comments therefore that not
enough has been done seems astonishing when you see what actually is
being done and with no obvious alternatives being suggested. It is
not as if there is anyone else that has either the technical ability
or experience in the US government to add to the engineering oil
expertise already being applied. You can’t send in the marines here
to solve the problem - butch bravado and bravura does nothing to
stop a burst pipe a mile under the sea.
Sad to say BP has now been thrown into the torrid
vortex of American politics which is building up into a
concentration of ferocity which will culminate in the October
elections. BP has become the President’s goat to beat for blame.
Tony Hayward then has been right to stand there and
take the flack - much of which has become very personally directed -
and has been acting responsibly and committed, quite correctly, BP
to act properly to eventually resolve the issue.
Compare this then with the corporate hypocrisy of
Bhopal and the Union Carbide disaster which in turn became an
environmental atrocity against the local population. Only last week
were there two local managers sent to prison - after 25 years! At
that time estimates of between 2,259 and 15,000 were killed by the
leak of the deadly methyl isocyanate gas and a possible 8,000
further lives in the years thereafter. The ground still apparently
is poisoned and people are still suffering from the effects of that
pollution. Where is the corporate responsibility here?
Where was the CEO, where was the clean up, and where
was corporate responsibility? Or was it because it was ‘over there’
in India so it didn’t matter - after the camera crews had left.
Before the US becomes too obviously critical of foreign firms not
acting responsibly, perhaps it would be better to look closer to
home to reveal some unpleasant truths. Apparently an Indian arrest
warrant for the CEO Mr Warren Anderson is still pending as the US
authorities seem ‘reluctant’ to proceed. This was ‘resolved’ by a
payment of $470m for the disaster to the land, the people and the
environment - is that corporate responsibility?
BP may be no saint and has had a poor track record
after the Texan refinery fatalities and
explosion in 2005, as well as the Alaskan oil pipeline leaks, but
here is an example of where good and responsible management should
be demonstrated and applauded. Although crude oil is an awful
substance to deal with, it is at least a naturally occurring
substance and not a man made toxin like the methyl isocyanate gas.
***
Time to use an old film title...’Return of the
Zombies’. To this you can now add two words - companies and
countries. The concept of a zombie operation is that it is so
indebted that its sole purpose and capability is now only to pay off
its debt. The unfortunate Greeks find themselves in this position in
that all the nation is currently able to do is just service their
existing debts and, without growth, will increasingly find it
impossible to start reducing it. Hence the need for radical economic
surgery and inevitably, in my view, debt restructuring - no one will
dare use the term default but would far rather come up with some
softer descriptions - either way there will very likely have to be
write downs by their creditors and especially the banks.
However, closer to home the situation may well be
more pressing. Companies which geared up, either by their own design
or more likely by ‘imaginative’ finance deals, find themselves laden
with a level of debt which seems immovable. Some of these have come
by the design of certain Private Equity houses, and others by
irresponsible high street banks pretending to be private equity
houses - stand up HBOS. There are those Private Equity firms on the
side of light who finance the restructuring and rebirth of many
companies: there is however also the dark side of the ‘barbarians at
the gates’ for whom corporate rape and pillage is a way of life.
Currently for companies like Crest Nicholson their
restructuring has left them unable to make effective and timely
decisions as 90% of the shares are now controlled by the lenders.
“Although we can grow in current facilities, it takes a long time to
get decisions approved” said Stephen Stone, CEO of Crest Nicholson.
In such a position a company’s ability to save itself is very
restricted and with the cost of refinancing rising (along with the
required arrangement or amendment fees) the result is bound to be an
increase in the number of insolvencies. This too will put further
pressure on the lenders and especially for those banks trying to
rebuild their balance sheets.
***
And finally... the naming of England has always been
a slight concern to me. The Scots
obviously come from Scotland, the Irish from Ireland and the Germans
from Germany, so where did the Engs come from? They sound like
something from Tolkein. Now if it is a derivation of the Angles then
maybe we should be Angland or more appropriately Angerland - now
that fits, especially after an unpleasant Budget.
And now for some silly stories about the World cup
that have come to my attention...
A South African jewellery company was in talks with
a Spanish and a British club to sell what the firm claims is the
world's most expensive football, a 2.2 kg diamond-encrusted
football.
"I am negotiating with the owners of two European
clubs. They want to take it back to Europe," Yair Shimansky, chief
executive of Shimansky Jewellers, told Reuters by phone.
He did not want to divulge the names of the competing clubs ahead of
concluding the deal sometime next week but confirmed they came from
Spain and Britain.
The ball was unveiled on Thursday in Cape Town,
ahead of the World Cup opening game between South Africa and Mexico
in Johannesburg on Friday. Shimansky said the jewels - 6,620 white
and 2,640 black round brilliant cut diamonds - were all sourced in
South Africa, a major diamond producing country.
The ball, containing 3,500 carats and estimated to
cost 20 million Rand (£1.8 million), was the exact size and
dimension of the Adidas ball players from 32 competing teams in the
finals would play with.
"We did it with the World Cup in mind. It was a
two-and-a-half year project," Shimansky said.
I thought they spent all their money on players?
And another... ’Elephant blocks U.S. squad on
trunk road.’
The United States training session ahead of
Saturday's World Cup Group ‘C’ opener with England was briefly
delayed after an elephant blocked the route of the team bus.
A U.S. team spokesman said the squad had to wait around five minutes
while the elephant ate food from a tree on the road leading from the
team's hotel.
It was the second time on Friday that the U.S. team
bus was blocked by an elephant on the road, the spokesman said.
One of our better tactics perhaps?
And one more... The African vuvuzela
trumpets, hugely popular with World Cup fans in South Africa, are no
longer welcome during Dutch training sessions as their continuous
din drowns out Netherlands’ coach Bert van Marwijk.
The Netherlands had an open training session on
Wednesday, obligatory under FIFA rules, which was attended by 3,000
mainly Dutch and South African fans, many sounding their vuvuzela
plastic horns.
"It was annoying and I could not make myself
audible," van Marwijk told a news conference on Friday. "That way
training has no use if I can't address my players."
The vuvuzelas have become a heavily discussed issue
since they featured for the first time for a worldwide audience
during last year's Confederations Cup.
"I heard them for the first time during the
Confederations Cup though I have to say I got used to the sound of
it after a while," van Marwijk added.
"At this moment we don't know if there will be any
more open training sessions but if we train with a crowd then (it
will be) without the horns."
Spoilsports.
Have a good week.
Justin A. Urquhart Stewart
Director
Seven Investment Management Limited
For
previous editions of our Weekly Update, please click here
This article represents a personal and
light-hearted
view from Director, Justin Urquhart Stewart of Seven Investment
Management Limited, and is based on current financial news and events
around the world. Its content should not be used for investment
purposes and you should contact an independent financial adviser
before making any investment or financial decision. Seven Investment
Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial
Services Authority. Member of the London Stock Exchange. Head office:
23 Austin Friars, London EC2N 2QP. Telephone 020 7760 8777. Registered
in England and Wales number 4092911. Registered office: 3 More London
Riverside, London SE1 2AQ.
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